Name | Daily Close | Daily Change | Daily Change (%) |
---|---|---|---|
Dow | 42,581.78 | 374.96 | 0.89% |
S&P 500 | 6,025.17 | 57.33 | 0.96% |
Nasdaq | 19,630.97 | 183.56 | 0.94% |
VIX | 19.83 | -0.79 | -3.83% |
Gold | 3,361.00 | -34 | -1.00% |
Oil | 66.71 | -1.8 | -2.63% |
OVERVIEW OF THE US MARKET
Wall Street traders drove stocks higher as oil tumbled, with Iran’s retaliatory strikes at a US air base in Qatar seen as symbolic and unable to trigger a broader economic fallout.
The S&P 500 rose almost 1% as Qatar said it intercepted the Iranian attacks, without any casualties. West Texas Intermediate dropped below $70 as Iran’s response eased concerns that the conflict would immediately disrupt supplies from the Middle East. With the drop in energy prices, worries about an imminent threat to inflation abated, with bond yields down as Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman signaled support for a potential rate cut as soon as July.
U.S. crude oil futures tumbled 7.2% after Iran launched missiles at a U.S. base in Qatar and at Iraq, with no casualties reported. The drop was a sharp reversal from Sunday night, when oil initially rose as much as 6% in response to the U.S. bombing of Iran’s nuclear sites over the weekend. President Trump’s decision to bomb Iran had raised fears that Tehran might retaliate by attacking critical energy infrastructure.
The Middle East accounts for about a third of global crude production and there haven’t yet been any signs of disruption to physical oil flows, including for cargoes going through the Strait of Hormuz. Since Israel’s attacks began earlier this month, there have been signs that Iranian oil shipments out of the Gulf have risen rather than declined.
According to the Morgan Stanley team, prior geopolitical risk events have led to some volatility for equities in the short term, but one, three and 12 months after the events, the S&P 500 has been up 2%, 3%, and 9%, on average, respectively.