Leading index up, “broadly consistent” with solid Sep quarter

16 September 2020

 

Summary:  Leading index improves substantially in August; Westpac forecasts “solid” September quarter; index reading implies annual GDP growth to rise to around +0.25% later this year/early next year; index expected to become positive in September as March/April effects drop out of calculation; RBA forecast implies 1.3% growth in second half of 2020.   Westpac and the Melbourne Institute describe their Leading Index as a composite measure which attempts to estimate...

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