UK CPI, PPI confirm deflation still “more likely than not”

17 September 2015

The Office of National Statistics released August CPI and PPI figures which support the Bank of England’s view that deflation is “more likely than not”. The CPI grew by 0.2% in August, down from July’s figure of 0.1% and unchanged on a year on year basis. The less volatile core measure in August was 1.0% year on year, down from the comparable July figure of 1.2%. ANZ said the figures were in line with expectations and were the result of lower fuel prices. On the producer side, UK producer prices fell 1.8% in the year to August 2015, a larger fall than the comparable July figure of 1.6%. Core prices rose 0.1% in the year to August 2015, slightly less than the July figure of 0.2%. Earlier this year the BoE governor Mark Carney had said deflation during 2015 was “more likely than not” but it was expected to be temporary.

UK consumer price index chart