“Weak, below-trend growth” expected into 2024: July Westpac-MI leading index

16 August 2023

 

Summary: Leading index growth rate rises in July; weak, below-trend growth momentum will extend into 2024; reading implies annual GDP growth of around 2.15%; ACGB yields fall; rate-rise expectations ease; Westpac currently expects 1% GDP growth in calendar 2023, 1.4% in calendar 2024. Westpac and the Melbourne Institute describe their Leading Index as a composite measure which attempts to estimate the likely pace of Australian economic growth in the short-term....

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