14 July – 18 JULY 2025

Summary:

This week’s steady cash rate expectations signal a cautious market stance. The market is pricing in an 85-basis point cut over the next year, targeting a 3.02% cash rate by mid-2026, influenced by recent soft employment data showing a 4.3% unemployment rate. Investors are leaning toward cash equivalents, reflecting a defensive posture amid tariff uncertainties from Trump’s 30% threat on EU and Mexico goods set for August 1. 

Swap rates showed slight declines, with the 1-year rate dropping 5.25 basis points to 3.3308% and the 3-month BBSW holding steady around 3.71% from the prior week. The 10-year swap rate has edged up 0.68 basis points to 4.244%, suggesting a gradual yield curve adjustment. No major shifts are evident—investors remain in a wait-and-see mode, with focus on next week’s PMI data. 

 

Figure 1: Swaps on RBA Rate Cuts

cash rate expections

CASH ACCOUNT

ProductInterest
Rate p.a.
Notes
AMP Saver Account4.70%Up to 4.70% pa variable rate on balances up to $500,0001. Applies for customers that meet the eligibility criteria.
ANZ Premium0.05%$10,000 - $249,999
ANZ Progress Saver3.50%Make at least one deposit of $10 or more in a month, make no withdrawals (including transfers), or incur any fees, charges in the month.
Arab Bank Online Savings4.55%On balances of $250,000 to $499,999
Bankwest Hero Saver4.10%Variable Hero rate on eligible balances up to $250,000.99.#
BOQ Fast Track Saver2.25%($1,000 deposited + 5 eligible transactions for per month)
BoQ Bonus Interest Savings5.10%Bonus interest is paid into your account when you limit your withdrawals to a maximum of one per month
CBA NetBank Saver4.65%1.90% p.a. standard variable rate, 2.75% p.a. fixed bonus margin for the first 5 months on your first NetBank Saver
CBA Goal Saver Account4.45%0.30% p.a. standard variable rate,4.15% p.a. bonus variable interest rate
Great Southern Bank5.64%Owner occupier, principal & interest, LVR 70% or less. Includes discount on new and additional lending. Min. loan amount applies
Heritage Online Saver4.35%Manage your savings online with our high interest savings account. Plus, get a 4 month Bonus Intro Rate* available for new members on balances up to $100,000.
ING Savings Accelerator4.95%from 9 June 2025 and roll higher with our 4.95% p.a. variable kick starter offer.This includes a 0.75% p.a. variable kick starter rate for the first 4 months on balances up to $500,000. After that, roll on with our 4.20% p.a. variable ongoing rate.
Macquarie CMA2.25%Minimum $5,000
ME Online Savings3.85%Bonus interest applies to balances up to $500,000.
NAB iSaver4.65%This is the total rate (standard variable rate plus fixed bonus margin rate) you could earn for the first four months, if you have not held a NAB iSaver in the last 12 months (on balances up to $20 million).
NAB Reward Saver4.35%This is the total rate (variable base rate + variable bonus rate) you could earn on your NAB Reward Saver account if you meet the variable bonus rate conditions.
Rabobank PremiumSaver4.80%On balances to $250,000. Balance increased by $200 a month.
RAMS Saver Account1.40%On balances to $500,000. Minimum $200 deposit each month with no withdrawals.
Suncorp Growth Saver4.55%Minimum $200 deposit each month and no more than 1 withdrawal
ubank Save Account4.85%5.5% on first $100,000, 5.0% on next $150,000; applies only on amounts upto $250,000. Minimum $500 deposit each month into Spend or Save accounts.
Up Savers Account4.35%Make 5 successful purchases using your Up or 2Up debit card or digital wallets in a month.
Westpac eSaver4.50%3.15% p.a. for the first 5 months for new Westpac eSaver customers
Westpac Reward Saver4.50%Make a deposit to the account and ensure account balance is higher at the end of the month than the beginning. Keep your account balance above $0 at all times.