Pain before the Gain – Trump Economic Policy Sequencing  

06 April 2025

 

Summary  We have just witnessed the tariff announcement, and it was worse and more comprehensive than the market expected. Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research estimates that the tariff policy, coupled with other tariffs announced this year, will raise the US effective tariff rate by 18.8% - from 2.3% at the start of the year to approximately 21%, the highest level since 1910. Overall, the reciprocal tariffs exceeded market expectations in...

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